[Eco] Recycling and P&T's Bullshit

[Jonathan Grabert]

If you assume that there are no new discoveries of oil deposits, if you 
assume there are no advances in technology to extract more from current 
deposits, if you assume there are no advances in technology to mine other 
sources of oil (like shale), if you assume that processes that use oil 
aren't made more efficient, then MAYBE those estimates would be correct. 
But that's an awful lot of assumptions, and they go against the entire 
history of oil production.

Keep in mind that, when adjusted for inflation, the price of oil has gone 
DOWN, not up.  That's hardly indicitive of a lack of supply.

J/

----- Original Message ----- 
From: "John W. Cooper" <jwcooper at pop600.gsfc.nasa.gov>
To: "Eco Foundation Discussion List" <eco at lists.looneylabs.com>
Sent: Wednesday, January 31, 2007 10:52 AM
Subject: Re: [Eco] Recycling and P&T's Bullshit


> On Jan 31, 2007, at 11:37, Jonathan Grabert wrote:
>
>> Again, we are in absolutely no danger of running out of oil for thousands 
>> of years.
>
> Thousands? I thought current conservative estimates were between 50 and 
> 200 years. I'll have to look again. This will no doubt start another 
> thread...
>
> :-j